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Для разработки целевых программ профилактики и ограничения дальнейшего распространения эпидемии чрезвычайно важно иметь точные данные о частоте новых случаев ВИЧ-инфицирования, распространенности ВИЧ-инфекции и сопутствующие поведенческие данные для групп максимального риска. Однако в большинстве стран системы эпиднадзора за ВИЧ-инфекцией (главный источник эпидемиологических данных) не обеспечивают репрезентативных выборок для групп максимального риска. В подобных случаях эффективен метод референтной выборки (РВ), который широко используется при проведении биоповеденческих исследований ВИЧ-инфекции в группах максимального риска.
Первое исследование на основе РВ было проведено в 1994 г. в США, и с тех пор эта методика использовалась более чем в 60 исследованиях среди потребителей инъекционных наркотиков, работников секс-бизнеса и мужчин, занимающихся сексом с мужчинами, проведенных более чем в 10 европейских странах. Однако во многих из этих стран исследователи не смогли проанализировать свои данные из-за неумения пользоваться специализированным инструментом для анализа референтных выборок (RDSAT), а также из-за трудностей в понимании всех сложностей теории социальных сетей и статистической корректировки, необходимой при работе с этой программой.

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В ходе данного учебного курса участники знакомятся с анализом данных РВ и теоретическими концепциями, на которых он базируется. Рассматриваются все этапы обработки и анализа данных РВ, включая двумерный и многомерный анализ. В этот учебный курс включены также существенные усовершенствования программы RDSAT (внесенные зимой 2008 г.), в число которых входит возможность экспортировать индивидуализированные весовые значения для выполнения регрессионного анализа. Рассматривается и такой важный вопрос, как интерпретация данных РВ, в частности их обобщаемость (внешняя валидность).
Каждый участник будет работать с компьютером, на котором установлено следующее программное обеспечение:

  • RDSAT 6.0.1
  • Excel
  • PowerPoint
  • NETDRAW (бесплатно распространяемая программа для подбора людей по цепочкам)
  • STATA или SPSS (для логистической регрессии)

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  • Доступное в настоящее время программное обеспечение для РВ, его возможности и ограничения
  • Теоретические параметры РВ и значение специальных понятий, таких как гомофилия, размеры социальных сетей, дифференцированный подбор респондентов и равновесность
  • Подготовка файлов данных, которые могут использоваться в программном обеспечении для РВ, и анализ данных с помощью RDSAT
  • Подбор респондентов по цепочкам с помощью NetDraw
  • Экспорт индивидуализированных весовых значений для проведения регрессионного анализа
  • Регрессионный анализ с помощью SPSS или STATA
  • Анализ и интерпретация данных

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Курс включает лекции и индивидуальную работу на компьютерах, чтобы участники могли получить практический опыт обработки и анализа данных РВ./

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Курс предназначен для ведущих исследователей, статистиков, обработчиков данных и других исследователей, уже имеющих опыт использования РВ. Очень желательно, чтобы представители каждой страны привезли с собой собственные данные, которые они могли бы форматировать, перекодировать и анализировать в процессе обучения. Тем, кто не сможет привезти реальные данные, будут предоставлены другие наборы данных. Участники должны быть знакомы с основами статистики и уметь работать с программой Excel.

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Центры контроля и профилактики заболеваний
Институт мирового здравоохранения, Калифорнийский университет, Сан-Франциско, США
Философский факультет, Загреб

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